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Savings Up But Not Enough

June 26th, 2009




The savings rate is expected to hit nearly 10 percent soon.  It had been around 5.5 percent in April and has steadily risen since then.

Why aren't people spending more?  With Americans clearly saving more money now than in months past, most are still extremely timid about spending and investing.  Experts are unsure how or what can change that.

The Dow bounced back later in the week after a very rocky start.  Thursday saw the Dow Jones rebound and gain over 2 percent of its value.

What's in store for the future?  Well, with the end of the quarter coming on Tuesday, many experts believe we will see another week ending in positive territory for the major markets as portfolio managers are eager to burnish their numbers for the quarter.

Oil still sits at just under $70 a barrel.  The Dow has remained stagnant since its nearly 3-month rally indicating that the experts on Wall Street feel the economic recovery isn't quite here yet.

Which Cities Likely Won't Rebound Anytime Soon?

June 19th, 2009



Texas cities Austin, San Antonio, Dallas and McAllen have not seen any economic growth so far this year.  They were considered focal areas of the massive real estate bubble of the past few years.  Once skyrocketing home prices in these Texas cities are to blame for a slow recovery.

Texas is not alone, however.  Several key California cities will also have a difficult time in rebounding from the economic troubles.  Fresno, Modesto, Salinas, Bakersfield, Stockton and Los Angeles all also saw collapses in housing markets in the past couple of years.

There are many indicators nationwide that home prices might be stabilizing again; however in many cities in Texas and California will likely take years for their economies to turn around.

Consumer Confidence Rising, But Is It Enough?

June 12th, 2009



While down a bit from expectations, the increase marks the multi-month high and the strongest showing since September of 2008.  Over the past three months, the confidence reports have shown an increase proving perhaps that the economy is set to rebound.

This report , however, also gauges inflation expectation, which has risen to its highest in months.

The five-year inflation outlook rose to just above 3 percent  this month, the highest since October of last year.  While the confidence numbers are are promising, the fact that inflation is still set to increase is worrisome to some analysts.  Concern continues to grow that the federal government may not be doing enough to to help spur recovery.

Rebound! Dow Ends in Positive Territory After Steep Slide

June 09th, 2009



Volume trading for the day was light, making the market susceptible to quick changes in direction.  Fewer traders on the market floor are normally not a good thing, but yesterday it was partially responsible for the positive nudge sending the market closing in positive territory.

Prices recovered late in the day as trading wound down.  Investors made the most of the day late in the day.  The bulk of the trading was done in the last hour of trading.  The rally signaled the market is still trying to decide how to proceed after it has seen substantial yet rather reserved gains over the past three months.

Confusion dominates the market still as many are left questioning exactly when the market will decidedly rebound from this recession.

By day's end on Monday, the Dow finished up nearly 0.1 percent.  Every little bit helps as each day seen in the green and not the red helps. 

Got a Job? Well, You May Want to Keep It!

June 05th, 2009




Despite the increased percentage of unemployed, layoffs leveled off somewhat last month with employers only eliminating 345,000 jobs.  That number marks the lowest slash in work force numbers since last September, nearly eight months ago.

The ease in layoff numbers point to a likely loosening the recession has had on the country even though overall unemployment percentage was up.  It's the fourth straight month the layoff pace has slowed.

It's definitely not easy to get a job these days in America and that fact has only been continued into the month of May.  Government officials have pledged to help bring down the high numbers by helping the unemployed with new training.

The U.S. economy has lost nearly 6 million jobs dating back to September 2007.  The slowing of layoffs will still do little to cause companies to begin hiring again until they feel secure that the economy is improving.

It's Back!! Oil Nears $70 a Barrel

June 03rd, 2009




The huge inventories of crude reported earlier in the year had steadily pushed the price of crude down over several months to near all-time lows.

While signs have pointed that the global demand for energy has rebounded substantially, there is little confidence the trend will continue or that a full rebound is likely right now.

Most analysts feel the recent increase in oil value is inflated and will likely flatten and decrease in the near future.  High energy prices could end up severely slowing an economic recovery.  It's doubtful oil will rise above $70 now.

GM Files for Bankruptcy

June 01st, 2009



It will stand as the largest industrial bankruptcy in history.  As GM enters bankruptcy protection,  the U.S. government has vowed to provide the necessary billions it will need in aid.  It will also need protection for the taxpayers' investments without interfering with normal operations.

GM President Fritz Henderson will hold a news conference today following an address from President Barrack Obama at the White house.

Late Sunday the federal government said it would provide an additional $29 billion in aid to General Motors in an attempt to assist its restructuring.  The process will likely take upwards of 90 days, and if successful, will allow GM to emerge as a much more profitable and viable company with a much leaner workforce and fewer number of plants.  The company plans, however, on cutting nearly 35 percent of its workforce and its stock on will likely see huge losses this week.


The government should refrain from intervening in day-to-day management of GM, and will management to make critical decisions.   Some analysts are hopeful GM will come out of this crisis a much more profitable and better-restructured company.