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Swine Flu Causes Oil to Sink Lower

April 29th, 2009



Down 39 cents to roughly $49.50 a barrel on Wednesday, crude oil became the victim of investor fears over whether the disease will continue to spread and become the "pandemic" many health officials believe it could.  The disease has continued to spread to more people in more countries since being announced late last week.  More than 150 deaths and nearly 2,500 cases have been reported thus far.

No reason to panic, yet.

The CDC has released several press statements saying it believes the swine flu will be contained and won't be a major threat to developed countries.  Investors are cautious, however, because if the disease does spread it will likely effect the airline industry as flights around the globe are canceled.  Investors are taking a wait-and-see approach.

Up from $35 a barrel in February, the price of oil has continually risen to the high of around $50 this month.  Despite the recent outbreak and fears over the disease spreading, there is hope that oil will continue to rise as more and more news comes out of improving economic status from around the globe.

GM Threatens Bankruptcy -- Gets Additional Funds

April 24th, 2009




The government had cleared a whopping $5 billion in aid to GM; however, only the $2 billion was actually loaned.  GM has until the late spring deadline of June 1 to restructure a plan that will satisfy the government.

A total of $20.4 billion has been loaned thus far to GM, including the financial sector of its business, GMAC Financial Services.

The automaker is expected to liquidate many of its assets, cut unprofitable areas and reduce its overall labor costs, which will include a number of its employees.  With just over a month to complete the required steps, GM has a huge complicated task ahead.

Oil Slips Under $50 Again on U.S. Inventory Report

April 22nd, 2009




June delivery of crude oil rose 20 cents to just below $49 a barrel today. 

Crude is expected to to jump a modest 3 million barrels this week.  Inventories of crude oil are expected to rise over the next few weeks as many analysts feel oil is dramatically undervalued.

Expectations are that the stimulus packages from governments around the world will spark economic recovery and further push oil values upwards.  Some are skeptical however that the economic recession is over.

Oil is expected to stay in the $50-a-barrel
range over the next few months with oil per barrel prices likely to reach nearly $55 a barrel by year's end.  That would be a positive indicator that the recession is nearly over, or at least that world markets have restored faith in oil futures and the futures of global tradings.

Happy, Happy, Joy, Joy! More News Signals Likely Market Turnaround

April 14th, 2009




Earning nearly $3.4 per share, Goldman Sachs was easily able to surpass analysts' expectations for the quarter.  That's also nearly a $4 billion change over the previous quarter after Goldman Sachs saw a $2.2 billion loss in the fourth quarter of 2008.

Caution, as has been the overlying theme these past few months, is being urged by many on Wall Street, but the news of the 1Q earnings by Goldman are coming as a very positive sign to investors.

It's too soon to say for sure that the banking industry is turning around, but Monday's numbers do go a long way to showing valid signs of progress.

This Economic Recession Isn't For the Birds -- Literally

April 08th, 2009




Casinos in Las Vegas have been reporting that pigeons have been getting skinnier and skinnier and fewer have been seen in public. 

"We used to see them everywhere and many were just too fat to fly,"
John "Cabbie" Carrell, a Vegas taxi driver said.  "They became a real nuisance to cabbies." 

When asked why they were such a  problem in the past, Carrell said they would just sit in the road a lot of times, too fat to fly away and too full to waddle.  Now, apparently the pigeons have become extremely spry as fewer and fewer places on The Strip are apparently leaving scraps out for the birds.

"I think they are probably skinnier because there are fewer people nowadays on The Strip for them to steal food from," Carrell added. 

Times seem to be lean indeed for friend and fowl alike.

Kentucky Makes Memphis Coach Highest Paid in History

April 06th, 2009




Yes, I said "history".  John Calipari's contract is a deal to the tune of $35 million over seven years that also includes yearly increases, bonuses and a retirement plan.  When all is said and done, if Calipari stays through the tenure of the contract, he will be paid more than $5 million a year.  That will be more than any other coach in college basketball or football and will also make him one of the top-10 highest paid coaches of any kind in the world.

There's a lot of pressure with that kind of money.

The University of Kentucky has already come under a lot of pressure and scrutiny for paying so much for a coach who has more than 17 years of coaching experience but no national titles.  So, what can Kentucky expect from a government employee who makes more than all other Kentucky school employees combined? 

Kentucky gave Billy Gillespie only two years to turn the Kentucky program around.  There is an enormous amount of stress on John Calipar. He is fully expected to turn the floundering program around next year and opinions around the town are that he absolutely must deliver in the first year, or else he may be gone.

What expectations do many in Kentucky have?

From the average freshman on campus to the highest of directors at the unversity people are already saying Coach Cal must make the Sweet Sixteen next season or else he will be eliminated from the school and his contract canceled.  That's a lot of pressure on a new coach.  Mr. Calipari will have four months to think about things and plan out the next basketball season.  During those four months he will be getting paid an excess of $1.3 million dollars in the off season, while promotes his program, attends seminars and player camps and occasionally takes in a golf game or two.  Last season Calipari spent a significant amount of time during the off season on vacation and doing paid appearances.  Needless to say, that the Kentucky faithful won't let Coach Cal get away with complacency this year.

Kentucky has a privileged and proud school history and is hoping to turn its 12 year slump around and will be betting everything on Calipari.  Will he deliver or will he be yet another bust for the school?  Is that decision worth more $40 million dollars that it will end up costing the school?

Word is that other colleges around the nation have started to negotiate for more money.  Calipari seems to have started a trend in college sports and it seems to be ignoring the problems seen around the country from the economic recession.  As CEOs and global banks fail worldwide it's difficult to see such unprecedented spending on non-academic government spending.  I wonder what President Obama has to say about this?

Another 600,000 Jobs Gone

April 06th, 2009




Is 10 percent unemployment possible?

The answer to that question  just may be "yes."  Job losses remain steady for a third straight month.  Jobs are being eliminated in virtually every sector of the work market.  Construction, professional and business all saw six-figure job loses last month.  Only healthcare continues to add jobs, but job creation has been slower this year than this time last year.

Any positives in all of this?

Job losses have been extremely close to expectation, which marks a first for this recession.  With certain sectors of the job market like the housing market and construction showing some turnaround, that leads many to believe there is an apparent recovery in the stock market.

What future markers will predict if the 10 percent unemployment numbers will actually happen by year's end?

The next three months will be crucial.  Will the job loss numbers continue to be on par with expectations?  Will they be more or less?  If they are less than expected, then the 10 percent unemployment numbers may be too high.  What most believe, though, is that by the end of the summer the market will have a good assessment of what the unemployment numbers should be by year's end.