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GM and Chrysler Get No Love from Obama Administration

March 31st, 2009



Automakers have been under scrutiny over the way the billions allotted to them have been spent.  The billions already handed out have done little to quell the financial slide GM and Chrysler are experiencing.

The Dow ended down for the day on the news of the automakers spurning.  Dropping nearly 255 points, the Dow slid for a second straight day.  Many investors still feel automakers are headed toward bankruptcy, even after the initial bailouts.  Obama did say that additional bailout funds are not out of the question for the automakers, but they must first show their efforts and intent are going in the right direction.

GM shaved nearly a dollar off its value yesterday to close at a low of $2.70 a share.  While there is no specific plan set for a future automaker bailout, there is hope that in the coming months GM and Chrysler will show a decrease in losses.  The market will keep a close eye on the automakers over the next few weeks, and it might not be a surprise for Obama to draft an additional bailout package by summer's end.

Three In a Row and Counting

March 27th, 2009




Most investments in the last month have been very short-term in nature, which says most still believe the market is not close to recovering.

The near three weeks of advances on Wall Street are the best the market has seen since September of 1982.  The S&P and NASDAQ has also seen substantial increase in the last month, up about 6 percent each.

More economic reports are due next week as well as the latest unemployment numbers.  These will be signs as to whether the market will extend its weekly string of positive gains on Wall Street to a fourth consecutive.

Tuesday Sees 20% of Monday's Gain Vanish

March 25th, 2009






The Dow fell nearly 116 points to close just above 7,660.  Gains in Asia and Europe could do little to bolster confidence as stocks remained steady Tuesday, just twice barely inching into positive territory.

While the Dow had its fair share of troubles on Tuesday, the NASDAQ saw no gains or losses, closing at 1,516.52. 

Fed Creates Nearly $1 Trillion in One Day

March 19th, 2009



This effort, 
however, essentially created tens of billions of dollars out of thin air.  By buying long-term government bonds instead of short-term debt that it usually buys and sells later, the Fed is hoping to control the money supply and encourage more economic activity that will be beneficial to home owners and those looking for new or refinanced loans.

The news surprised the Dow, which saw a marked jump into positive territory to close Wednesday day in positive territory, nearly 100 points higher than the day before.

The action by the Feds does come at a clear and obvious risk, however.  Pumping so much instant cash into the economy will undoubtedly dilute the value of the dollar and create more inflation both now and in the future.  Once the news of the instant stimulus came out, the dollar dropped sharply.

The creation of so much cash will undoubtedly cause increased inflation and comes after months of worrying and wrestling with the fact that lenders have remained reluctant to lend money and borrowers have been skeptical or unable to borrow.  Will the new money entice borrowers and lenders and help jump start the economy or will it sit untouched, as inflation and the devaluation of the dollar continue?

4 Days and Counting -- Dow on Biggest Gain in Weeks

March 13th, 2009




Monday, the Dow ended lower and reached values not seen since the mid 1990s. Four days later and the Dow has recovered more than 10 percent of its value.

Will the streak continue?

Much of Friday's trading saw seesawing between negative and positive territory.  A last-minute rally did just enough to push the Dow over the top.  It's going to take more good news next week for the streak to continue.   

Oil 25% More Valuable Than Last Month

March 11th, 2009



Having risen from nearly $35 a barrel last month to nearly $46 a barrel this month, the direction oil prices will take still remains unclear.

An EIA report is scheduled to be released this week that will proclaim whether crude oil inventories have decreased so far this month.  If so, 
per barrel oil prices are expected to rise again this week. OPEC is set to announce another production cut next month that will further push down how many barrels it produces daily.

The expectations by many analysts are that oil prices for crude will continue to rise
modestly over the next few weeks pushing gas prices at the pump even higher.  It's unlikely that prices at the pump will see summer of 2007 prices, but expect the prices you see this summer to be around 10 cents a gallon higher than today.

Dow Posts Best Gain of Year on Citigroup News

March 11th, 2009



Having its best performance since the fall of 2007, the news sparked a flurry on Wall street that led to positive gains for the day.  Up well over 380 points, the Dow showed signs of life again as it ended the day with more than a 5 percent gain.

The NASDAQ posted even better numbers, up more than  7 percent on Tuesday.  Foreign markets responded to the U.S. markets by showing similarly positive gains on Wednesday morning.  Those numbers will likely positively affect the Dow again on Wednesday.  The Dow should continue into positive territory and will likely end the day on Wednesday with its first two-day winning streak in a month.

The Slashing Continues -- 650,000 More Jobs Eliminated in February

March 09th, 2009





Numbers for December and January were revised to show an additional 150,000 jobs that were eliminated.

The cuts affected nearly every industry across America.  The biggest cuts were seen in professional and business services.  Jobs continued to be cut in the financial industry as well as hospitality, retail and food service.

Many analysts see the numbers as positive, indicating that many employers "trimmed the fat" at the end of last year and beginning of this year.  That could potentially mean that many employers have done what they could do to streamline businesses to be more profitable; eliminating positions to consolidate responsibilities and costs.  This could potentially mean an end to cutbacks and downsizing for a number of small to large sized companies.

The numbers of jobs lost in January and last month were decreased marginally over the numbers from November and December.  This could signify that the worst is behind us, that unemployment numbers will taper off and soon fall significantly.

Recession Proves That World Is Indeed Flat As Economies Around the World Head Toward the Edge

March 09th, 2009





The financial crisis is now truly a world-wide problem, leaving nearly no country or economy untarnished.  The crisis is likely to create a multi-billion dollar shortfall for developing nations.  That could translate directly up to $799 billion this year.

The World Bank said only a quarter of countries will be able to address economic concerns without the aid from other countries.

One Word to Describe Likelihood of a Modestly Quick Economic Turnaround -- Poor

March 05th, 2009



Nearly all of the Fed regions showed economic activity had worsened in the first two months of 2009, affecting nearly every facet of the economy.

The Fed's survey indicated that faith among businesses in a quick turnaround was nearly non-existent and most businesses believed no turnaround was even possible until, at earliest, the end of 2009.

The survey summarized data collected from businesses given to the Fed's 12 banks.  All of the February 23 collected data is used to gauge what is happening on the ground level economically.

Based on this survey,  the Fed is expected to keep the key interest rate unchanged next month and potentially throughout the rest of the year.  That would make the key rate unchanged for nearly a year.

Most economists believe the recession will last well into 2010.  It is unlikely the key interest rate will be changed before December of that year.

5 Days Down and 1 Day Up -- Dow Springs Back Into Life

March 05th, 2009





Nearly every industry saw rebounds today as the Dow recovered some 149 points, a 2 percent increase to close just below 6,900 points.


Oil also increased in value on word that China is close to a massive initiative to boost its economy with its own economic stimulus plan.


Investors and experts are unsure whether Thursday trading will see more positive gains, however.  The recent five day market slump has left many on Wall Street weary, nervous and genuinely confused.  Many do believe the market could see more substantial gains before the closing bell on Friday though.