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Up For the Day, But Down For the Year

December 30th, 2008


News that the federal government finally decided to aid auto giant General Motors helped the market end the year on a slightly positive note after it saw the worst declines in value in more than a half century.

GM was given a boost today to the tune of $6 billion to help correct its financial problems. Shares jumped nearly 6 percent to more than $3.75 on the news.

Ending at 8668, the Dow rose more than 2 percent today and will likely end on a positive note tomorrow afternoon when the Dow closes out its last day of trading for the year.  2008 hasn't been a good one to the Dow Jones.  With losses of nearly 40 percent of its value since the beginning of the year, the Dow has many investors wondering how much farther it will continue to fall and where the market will be this time next year.

Wherever the Dow ends up, next year one thing is for sure -- the market can ill afford another huge drop in value.

Real Estate Markets Continue to Fall, But One State Takes Honor For Worst Market In U.S.

December 23rd, 2008






U.S. home-price index continued its decline  this quarter as it fell nearly 17 percent.  Many analysts expect the prices to continue to fall in the next quarter and possibly well into 2010.  Where will it stop?  Most believe we have another year of watching the home-price index fall.

Which cities this next quarter will likely see the biggest decrease in value?  Here are the top 10 worst markets in America for projected decreasing real estate value in the upcoming year:

1. Los Angeles, nearly 25 percent.

2. Stockton, Calif., nearly 24.8
percent.

3. Riverside, Calif., nearly 24
percent.

4. Miami Beach, Fla., nearly 23
percent.

5. Sacramento, Calif. nearly 22
percent.

6. Santa Ana-Anaheim, Calif., up to 22 
percent.

7. Fresno, Calif., nearly 21.5
percent.

8. San Diego, close to 21
percent.

9. Bakersfield, Calif., close to 20 
percent.

10.Washington, D.C., nearly 19.9
percent.

Last Weekend Before Christmas Sees Timid Buyers

December 22nd, 2008


Even with heavy discounts on items ranging from T-shirts to big screen LCDs, American consumers are wary of spending due to continued financial hardship the nation is experiencing.  Many analysts are calling this one of the best shopping seasons on record, with many retailers slashing prices to entice buyers; but the strategy doesn't appear to working as hoped.

Deals are everywhere!

From buying a new car to buying bulk produce, consumers are seeing just about everything discounted.  All facets of retail are seeing the discounts.  Still though, the International Council of Shopping Centers expects stores to post the worst numbers this season in more than 30 years.

Luckily, the shopping season won't officially end this Christmas.  Many wait for after Christmas sales or to return or exchange presents and many experts feel this period will help in the final numbers.  Shoppers may just be waiting and scouting for such after Christmas deals, as many do each year. But this year may see record sales.

Final sales figures are expected in late January, but many are already writing this holiday season off as the worst in nearly 50 years.

Oil Set to Fall Below $40 a Barrel

December 17th, 2008


Global demand for crude oil continues to decline as world economies deal with the impact of continued recessions.  Many expect OPEC will continue to cut back on oil production through the next month and many feel this will push the price per barrel to under $40.  That amount is below expectations.

Waning energy use in America and Europe brought about by cold winters have always meant a decrease in oil production for OPEC.  In spring, production should increase.  The decline in energy costs this winter has pushed down consumer prices by the largest amount on record.

Overall, the decrease in oil production, now the third time OPEC has made such cuts, is not likely to help stabilize falling oil prices.  Another, in spring,  will likely be needed.  So, expect the price for oil and gas at the pumps to continue to fall through the early spring.

Interest Rates Cut to Record Low

December 16th, 2008


News of the deep cut caused stocks to soar in early trading.  By noon the Dow was up nearly 2 percent  as investors traded, optimistic that the government is set to do everything within its power to end this recession, now the longest in a quarter century.

More good news is expected later in the week, as many believe the federal government could announce its bailout for the automaker giants.  So, expect stocks to continue on its modest incline through the week.

Half Full or Half Empty? Analysts Proclaim Credit Crisis Is Only Halfway Over

December 08th, 2008


Just how long do we have before the economy rebounds?

Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein believes we have suffered through roughly 18 months of the current economic downturn.  He believes we have another year and a half of troubled times ahead.

While it's difficult to predict when the economy will rebound, many analysts have turned to historical trends in making their predictions.  Most indicators point to continued market struggles.

The government bailouts seem to be reducing the impact of the recession; however small and large businesses continue to scale back and consolidate resources.  An additional 533,000 jobs were eliminated in November, which is the most in nearly 34 years.

There haven't been any signs of a possible quick turn around for the economy, so the Goldman Sachs report could be correct.  It is important to note, however,  that eight months ago, Goldman Sachs issued a report saying the economy was in the "third or fourth" quarter of an economic downturn.  Instead of three quarters through the recession reported eight  months ago we are only half way through it eights months later.

Let's hope Goldman Sachs' next report says we are nearing the finish line.

$4, $3, $2, $1 ... Gas Could Fall Below $1 Next Year

December 05th, 2008



How far down?

Prices for regular grade at the pump could drop to below a dollar a gallon.  In many parts of the country, prices have already fallen to below $1.50 a gallon.

Just how long before prices reach the $1-a-gallon mark? It should be a few more months before prices fall to that level.  Experts are predicting prices could fall to the expected $1 range around  February or early March.  It's not a certainty, however.  If the market eases itself out of its recession then oil prices for crude would likely rise and bring with it increased prices at the pump.

We may not reach the magic $1 mark, but prices at the pump are the cheapest in over two years and that is good news.  

Spirit of '76? Yep! Gas Prices Fall Again

December 02nd, 2008



The current economic crisis has been "fueling" consistently lower gas prices at the pumps.  Fuel consumption worries have pushed the price of crude oil down more 60 percent since the summer.

Many states are reporting areas where gas prices per gallon are as low as $1.50 and only three states still have averages high than $2.  Alaska, Hawaii and New York see the highest prices for gas in the nation, but even Alaska's high, which is the nation's, is still close to a $1 cheaper than the national average just 6 months ago.

Prices across the country are expected to continue dropping during the next few months.  Many experts predict price may fall to pre-2004 levels, with many believing the price will continue to drop until the economy stabilizes and shows signs of recovery.

How Much is YOUR House Worth Now?

December 01st, 2008


While not surprising to most home owners, prices for homes have dropped significantly in the past couple of years.  Word comes this week that home values across the country have fallen again this quarter for a 26th consecutive month.

Home values are now off an average of 23 percent since their peak in June 2006. The continued decline has worsened over the past 12 months compared to the previous 14-month span.

The weakest markets of Phoenix, Las Vegas and San Francisco showed an average of 30 percent  decrease in value over the past year.  The least affected cities were Dallas and Charlotte, which were able to resist most of the valuing. Their decline in value only averaged around 3 percent.

Foreclosures remain at record highs and no relief is within site.  There is little doubt that a year from now the decline will have only continued.